INVESTMENT ANALYSIS OF TRANSPORTATION SEGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY AND RISK

Authors

  • Melquiades Pereira de Lima Júnior IFRN
  • Ramiro Jorge Aldatz

Abstract

The displacement of the population in Brazilian cities has been accomplished largely by collective bus, which established itself as the main modality of transportation in the country. Thus, the paper aims to use the tools and concepts of engineering economics in order to analyze the viability of investment in creating a business of intercity transportation in the state of Rio Grande do Norte, in the city of Natal. The methods used for the evaluation were the Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario Analysis and Monte Carlo simulation, to understand the investment behavior under uncertainty and risk. Finally, it was revealed that the industry is in serious danger, if not clandestine surveillance in transport intensifies. However, in view of the prevailing economic conditions, the project demonstrates advantageous, requiring only 10% of own resources for the investment.

Keywords: Economic Viability. Transportation. Sensitivity Analysis.

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Author Biographies

Melquiades Pereira de Lima Júnior, IFRN

Graduado em Administração pela UFRN, Especialista em Finanças pela Fundação Visconde de Cairú, Mestre em Engenharia de Produção e Doutorando em Administração pela UFRN. Professor do IFRN, na área de Administração Financeira.

Ramiro Jorge Aldatz

Graduado e Mestrando em Administração pela UFRN.

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Published

06-02-2013

How to Cite

LIMA JÚNIOR, M. P. de; ALDATZ, R. J. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS OF TRANSPORTATION SEGMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY AND RISK. REVISTA AMBIENTE CONTÁBIL - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, [S. l.], v. 5, n. 1, p. 224–240, 2013. Disponível em: https://periodicos.ufrn.br/ambiente/article/view/3325. Acesso em: 25 nov. 2024.

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 1 (2013): Jan./Jun.

Section

ARTICLES

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