Public budget and crime: an analysis based on the examination of indicators of lethal and non-lethal crimes in the state of Ceará
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21680/2176-9036.2024v16n1ID35016Palabras clave:
: Presupuesto Público. Ejecución Presupuestaria. Crimen. Regresión Lineal. Ceará.Resumen
Objetivo: Este artículo tiene como objetivo analizar una posible existencia de relación entre la ejecución presupuestaria y los niveles de criminalidad en el Estado de Ceará entre 2012 y 2021.
Metodología: Uso de regresión lineal con el uso de variable dependiente (gastos presupuestarios con la función de seguridad pública) y variables independientes (ingresos públicos, delitos violentos letales intencionales, incautación de armas, delitos violentos, robos y delitos sexuales).
Resultados: Evaluadas las variables propuestas, los resultados indicaron la influencia de 2 (dos) de las 6 (seis) variables independientes analizadas: ingresos al 1% y robos al 10%. Los otros indicadores relacionados con los delitos violentos letales intencionales, la incautación de armas, los delitos violentos contra la propiedad y los delitos sexuales no presentaron resultados consistentes.
Contribuciones del Estudio: Aumenta el nivel de conocimiento sobre las posibles relaciones entre los gastos presupuestarios y la delincuencia (sus diversas tipologías), a fin de comprender mejor si efectivamente sólo los gastos de seguridad pública son capaces de influir en el nivel de delincuencia en un estado de la federación.
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